0x2A4a60091030eD0555932625D8D0B0389adABB6A-1771432311904
0x2a4a60091030ed0555932625d8d0b0389adabb6a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.94
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $262.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$320.00at 0.360US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$200.56at 0.548Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$72.05at 0.681Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$39.32at 0.718Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$37.08at 0.890Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:47 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 16:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 16:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8399999979 | $245.00 |
| 08-03 16:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 02:17 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999985 | $300.00 |
| 07-25 02:12 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |
| 05-18 13:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 06:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $3.85 |
| 05-18 06:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 06:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 05-18 06:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999967 | $25.00 |
| 05-18 06:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |
| 05-18 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $12.38 |
| 05-18 06:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |