PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2A4a60091030eD0555932625D8D0B0389adABB6A-1771432311904

0x2a4a60091030ed0555932625d8d0b0389adabb6a

Realised P&L
$683.05
Volume
$39.9k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$72.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3120.249$71.91−$18.09
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.003$0.80−$5.20
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00−$55.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Up0.2250.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Yes0.3130.000$0.00−$95.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? · Yes0.3350.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.0060.000$0.00−$4.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Up0.5750.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$5.01
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 11:54Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.319201995$40.00
10-15 11:25Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3058703575$50.00
10-05 08:24Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$116.74
09-27 08:07Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$183.60
09-27 08:07Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027?SELL0.1332438268$12.03
09-27 08:03Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.477679803$4.85
09-26 19:55Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$178.75
09-26 19:55Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.58$337.19
09-22 14:17Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027?BUY0.1439415032$13.00
09-22 14:16Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6299999989$100.00
09-22 14:16Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.2360290272$118.23
09-22 12:36Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
09-22 10:50Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3127035831$30.00
09-22 10:49Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.158$23.24
09-22 10:45Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?SELL0.7143004587$49.83