0x2A4a60091030eD0555932625D8D0B0389adABB6A-1771432311904
0x2a4a60091030ed0555932625d8d0b0389adabb6a
- Realised P&L
- $683.05
- Volume
- $39.9k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $72.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$259.37at 0.740Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$200.56at 0.548Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$179.05at 0.705Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 11:54 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.319201995 | $40.00 |
| 10-15 11:25 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3058703575 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 08:24 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $116.74 |
| 09-27 08:07 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $183.60 |
| 09-27 08:07 | Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.1332438268 | $12.03 |
| 09-27 08:03 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.477679803 | $4.85 |
| 09-26 19:55 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $178.75 |
| 09-26 19:55 | Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $337.19 |
| 09-22 14:17 | Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1439415032 | $13.00 |
| 09-22 14:16 | Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 14:16 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.2360290272 | $118.23 |
| 09-22 12:36 | Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3127035831 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 10:49 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.158 | $23.24 |
| 09-22 10:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.7143004587 | $49.83 |