Tawo
0x2a48ca7d96b8fd685ddbc0ff93e3dc1201a1e9cd
- Realised P&L
- $208.71
- Volume
- $605.8k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$1.51 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 4? · No | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.86at 0.974Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
- +$4.19at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8?
- +$3.78at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12?
- +$3.50at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?
- +$3.39at 0.996Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 9-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-19 15:52 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9973591204 | $952.48 |
| 09-19 15:51 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 09-19 15:51 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:50 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:50 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-19 15:50 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:50 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 01:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $989.01 |
| 08-31 00:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $987.01 |
| 08-30 23:49 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.996 | $984.05 |
| 08-24 15:57 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $984.01 |
| 08-01 09:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $978.02 |
| 07-31 03:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $977.02 |
| 06-30 19:50 | Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $960.04 |