PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

keeveeg

0x2a423948b13e16de1a7d069725c93da457e5396d

Realised P&L
$-268.17
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
279
Open portfolio
$1.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded279
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0150.005$1.60$3.40
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winner · RE.Arise0.5230.000$0.00$22.10
XRP Up or Down - August 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$25.00
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Solana Up or Down - August 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
XRP Up or Down - August 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
BNB Up or Down - August 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner · Aurora Gaming0.3260.000$0.00$78.76
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$8.25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$8.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:00Solana Up or Down - September 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.1199999993$6.95
09-21 08:59Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.038$0.48
09-21 08:59Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.003$0.03
09-21 08:59Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.004$0.14
09-21 08:59Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win between 50 and 59 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.003$0.13
09-21 08:58Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.07
09-21 08:58Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.002$0.17
09-21 08:58Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.006$0.90
09-21 08:58Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.021$5.47
09-21 08:04Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2199999991$42.94
09-21 08:02Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2199999982$14.40
09-21 08:01Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?SELL0.031$1.63
09-21 08:01Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0451572403$2.98
09-21 07:16Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2399999994$62.00
09-21 07:15Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group ASELL0.44$66.42