0x2A403cE4CB6838A86E0F2bef9843A24318a71C7e-1766144489839
0x2a403ce4cb6838a86e0f2bef9843a24318a71c7e
- Realised P&L
- $-273.60
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $7.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.070 | $7.62 | −$92.38 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$487.98at 0.692Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
- +$116.85at 0.710Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$90.52at 0.812Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$46.99at 0.916Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
- +$2.95at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 15:56 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.33 | $196.24 |
| 09-09 15:50 | Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | BUY | 0.9255612442 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 15:39 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.336316945 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 12:44 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $189.19 |
| 09-09 09:10 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.739999998 | $200.00 |
| 06-26 12:14 | Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7688249741 | $178.43 |
| 06-26 12:13 | Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.618079197 | $89.91 |
| 06-26 07:21 | Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8617359517 | $200.00 |
| 06-26 07:20 | Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6874564097 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 15:32 | Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:31 | Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:31 | Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia? | BUY | 0.0111884774 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:31 | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:31 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:31 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |