ABHYT410
0x2a37a2b808c7c1bf0ae183e3baaccaf434fbb4c5
- Realised P&L
- $213.94
- Volume
- $68.4k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $30.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? · No | 0.975 | 0.981 | $30.07 | +$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.72at 0.540Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$3.27at 0.916Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.60at 0.951Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.34at 0.910Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
- +$1.28at 0.930Will Solana reach $210 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.975 | $29.90 |
| 10-04 12:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9928526923 | $33.70 |
| 10-03 01:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $33.40 |
| 09-29 04:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9769999905 | $32.80 |
| 09-28 01:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.985 | $32.40 |
| 09-27 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9939999754 | $32.20 |
| 09-25 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999996 | $31.80 |
| 09-18 11:43 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $30.10 |
| 09-15 03:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.9959999976 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 06:15 | Will Solana reach $110 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9689999822 | $34.60 |
| 09-11 02:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.40 |
| 09-10 14:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $34.00 |
| 09-09 03:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9889999725 | $33.70 |
| 09-08 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9835326238 | $33.20 |
| 09-08 03:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.10 |