0x2a2a92bd098d44a2b0e60fc4b614e1aa5a6387ee
0x2a2a92bd098d44a2b0e60fc4b614e1aa5a6387ee
- Realised P&L
- $-411.51
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $185.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.835 | $98.62 | +$23.05 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.635 | $35.10 | +$9.67 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $19.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.735 | $19.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.105 | $12.12 | −$2.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.76at 0.122Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.61at 0.492Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$37.50at 0.612Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-09?
- +$28.41at 0.783Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$23.85at 0.585Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 20:42 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 20:42 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 19:03 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 18:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 19:56 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 19:55 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 19:54 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 14:02 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5299999937 | $15.15 |
| 09-19 13:44 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.15 |
| 09-19 13:44 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.15 |
| 09-19 13:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7099999854 | $12.15 |
| 09-19 13:42 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7699999962 | $20.15 |
| 09-19 13:41 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999885 | $20.15 |
| 09-19 13:41 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 13:38 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |