0x2A266Af0FF2D636DF1473EEF7bCd09B669b4ccc0-1774868230825
0x2a266af0ff2d636df1473eef7bcd09b669b4ccc0
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $78.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.068US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.1kat 0.151Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$128.36at 0.170US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$108.08at 0.270Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$50.60at 0.240Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:23 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 18:21 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.0035630735 | $23.49 |
| 10-30 20:20 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.6447984 | $80.60 |
| 10-30 20:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.42 | $302.61 |
| 10-28 12:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 07:07 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.04 | $13.66 |
| 10-28 07:07 | Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.0443681888 | $16.69 |
| 10-27 11:51 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.08 | $27.32 |
| 10-27 11:50 | Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.135 | $18.78 |
| 10-27 11:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | SELL | 0.0117006175 | $8.45 |
| 10-24 15:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $65.00 |
| 10-24 15:17 | Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.09631 | $38.52 |
| 10-24 15:16 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.14 | $26.51 |
| 10-21 19:16 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1499999995 | $28.40 |
| 10-21 19:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.63 |