PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2a070752c4a5d6c22aeb71a5f05127fa521b8eb4

0x2a070752c4a5d6c22aeb71a5f05127fa521b8eb4

Realised P&L
$-240.21
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$189.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.4800.475$98.96−$1.04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0350.029$36.91−$8.14
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0310.021$33.35−$16.65
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3980.159$19.99−$30.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 07:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.4799999985$100.00
10-16 07:11Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0353943936$45.05
10-16 07:06Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0307391049$50.00
05-17 19:04Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0419999996$100.00
04-28 04:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.2899999961$50.00
04-28 04:26Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
04-28 04:22Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3976013932$50.00
04-28 04:21US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.08$50.00
03-23 20:19Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL0.994$608.43
03-09 15:22Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.6799999995$207.00
03-09 00:43Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.6499999992$200.00
03-09 00:42US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.4399999981$100.00
03-09 00:42Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.3295192881$50.00
03-09 00:40Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0879999984$50.00
03-09 00:20US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.4899514941$100.00