0x29fabe1f44659ae2d9195b6b6596e1eb92416158
- Realised P&L
- $-6.74
- Volume
- $99.90
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $10.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.755 | $2.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.915 | $2.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.385 | $1.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? · No | 0.670 | 0.590 | $1.65 | −$0.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.315 | $1.24 | −$0.76 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.055 | $0.16 | −$1.84 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.280 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.71at 0.430Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.500Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
- +$0.66at 0.736Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.61at 0.757Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.58at 0.770Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:16 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 12:10 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 04:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 11:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 11:15 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 04:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.3877702251 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 20:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |
| 07-31 20:17 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 12:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 11:23 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 13:30 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.6699999498 | $1.87 |
| 07-29 04:46 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |