Barlog10
0x29f4789952391976d6ca749bf63b4786455a1348
- Realised P&L
- $-0.82
- Volume
- $222.16
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $53.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.594 | 0.832 | $14.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? · No | 0.790 | 0.795 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No | 0.986 | 0.981 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.153 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $9.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will "Verity" score at least 42 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.800Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.89at 0.837Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.49at 0.953Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:32 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 18:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 18:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5939999942 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 06:46 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1549999977 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 17:31 | Will "Verity" score at least 42 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 18:09 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9529999485 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 19:49 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8369999939 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 19:46 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 19:28 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.9859999834 | $10.00 |