0x29f044b5b5644069ee55bdf72893b6fc7d92f23d
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 468
- Open portfolio
- $12.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded468
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.029 | $12.27 | +$1.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Up | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.43at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
- +$45.74at 0.625Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$44.94at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$42.77at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$32.11at 0.760Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $19.00 |
| 08-19 11:57 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.0420978814 | $1.50 |
| 08-19 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 18:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $19.98 |
| 08-14 19:35 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.0357173229 | $2.10 |
| 08-14 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999831 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9599999654 | $20.00 |
| 08-13 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $19.00 |
| 08-12 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-12 17:25 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.38 |
| 08-12 17:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 04:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 08-10 19:11 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.0228078236 | $2.78 |