PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bellona

0x29d8956c6e2112024157a9663506a9178637c4fb

Realised P&L
$-146.55
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$15.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 14:12Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.1$5.00
07-20 14:12Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
02-13 21:15Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.51$9.88
01-06 21:35Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1960438354$10.00
01-04 20:08Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.1399999787$5.00
12-27 11:25Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.0997243619$20.00
12-27 11:24Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.08$10.00
11-28 09:35Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?BUY0.2862258228$50.00
11-06 18:44Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?BUY0.04$20.00
11-05 21:44Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on November 6?BUY0.2144966643$9.21
11-04 18:50Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?BUY0.2$10.00
11-04 18:38Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
11-04 14:14Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?BUY0.3099999806$8.00
11-04 14:03Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.084$10.00