bellona
0x29d8956c6e2112024157a9663506a9178637c4fb
- Realised P&L
- $-147.23
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $5.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.17at 0.037Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$9.49at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$8.96at 0.532Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 23:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1389999982 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 17:19 | France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 17:14 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.0711476893 | $38.53 |
| 10-21 21:49 | Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $9.97 |
| 10-13 09:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 09:18 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0292723479 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 14:12 | Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 14:12 | Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 02-13 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $9.88 |
| 01-06 21:35 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1960438354 | $10.00 |
| 01-04 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 12-27 11:25 | Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.0997243619 | $20.00 |
| 12-27 11:24 | Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 11-28 09:35 | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025? | BUY | 0.2862258228 | $50.00 |
| 11-06 18:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.00 |