PolyBot

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Traders

meaning19

0x29d1ca2c183ebbda8ae5241405a1dad96d04f8a3

Realised P&L
$156.03
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$72.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1520.040$55.96−$159.04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0620.011$16.94−$83.06
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$96.57
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 05:54Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.498$10.37
09-06 15:40Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999949$15.00
09-01 05:37Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
09-01 05:37Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
08-25 15:35Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$200.00
08-25 15:24Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.86$328.28
08-24 17:42Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0619999994$100.00
08-24 17:37Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.76$290.10
08-03 19:11Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.3899999994$297.74
06-18 11:14Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.059999989$5.00
06-18 11:14Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
06-11 12:23SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
06-11 12:17Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.2047907156$37.23
06-09 20:55Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?SELL0.3881987578$14.38
06-09 20:54Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999956$20.00