0x29cd07a1c60215ca46d27d18ae0375d71585e6f3
0x29cd07a1c60215ca46d27d18ae0375d71585e6f3
- Realised P&L
- $-36.73
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $3.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No | 0.288 | 0.280 | $2.43 | −$0.07 |
| Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · No | 0.080 | 0.055 | $1.03 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.00at 0.209Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?
- +$7.45at 0.230Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?
- +$1.03at 0.046Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?
- +$0.61at 0.083Will Berry Vrbanovic win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election?
- +$0.42at 0.275US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 06:02 | Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.50 |
| 10-30 10:21 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.91 |
| 10-30 10:21 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.44 |
| 10-19 00:15 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.2879999853 | $2.50 |
| 10-17 17:15 | Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31? | SELL | 0.086 | $2.24 |
| 10-17 10:19 | Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | SELL | 0.5353333333 | $24.09 |
| 10-15 16:33 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.90 |
| 10-15 16:33 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.33 |
| 10-15 15:17 | Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0022949678 | $0.39 |
| 10-04 15:47 | Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.87 |
| 10-03 16:41 | Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | SELL | 0.0137314286 | $0.14 |
| 10-03 11:06 | GTA VI released by November 30? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.65 |
| 10-03 11:06 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.44 |
| 10-03 11:05 | Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.31 |
| 10-03 11:04 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.58 |