0x29c9aa3da31af3e398914e72ae480e42dc3645b0
- Realised P&L
- $-0.34
- Volume
- $114.25
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.865 | $1.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.665 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.660 | 1.000 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? · No | 0.680 | 0.705 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.770 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.530 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.440S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:36 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 23:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:51 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:47 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 10? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:17 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 03:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 04:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |