lokay
0x29c7d60487a11de0d73a52714436ad9eedc95d54
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $146.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.975 | 0.972 | $51.52 | −$0.16 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.973 | 0.920 | $47.87 | −$2.73 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.861 | $47.33 | −$5.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$884.00at 0.320Rockies vs. Guardians
- +$317.07at 0.610Phillies vs. Nationals
- +$235.84at 0.560Mariners vs. Phillies
- +$41.23at 0.410Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?
- +$4.84at 0.320Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 06:54 | China coup attempt before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $50.08 |
| 06-29 06:53 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $50.67 |
| 03-19 13:07 | Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.69 |
| 08-20 12:23 | Mariners vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.56 | $300.16 |
| 08-15 10:50 | Phillies vs. Nationals | BUY | 0.61 | $495.93 |
| 04-30 13:56 | Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2? | SELL | 0.5810646419 | $140.05 |
| 04-28 12:05 | Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.409999998 | $98.82 |
| 03-20 17:03 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | SELL | 0.33 | $98.82 |
| 03-19 15:43 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $95.82 |
| 03-18 06:18 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | SELL | 0.52 | $95.82 |
| 03-17 13:08 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $93.98 |