aigiul
0x29c28f4a4df655aa65474c3050a319e9afcc6bd4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $807.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.085 | $807.50 | −$1.6k |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.529Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$909.08at 0.470Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$363.88at 0.840US government shutdown in 2025?
- +$-781.00at 0.730Biden drops out of presidential race?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 17:14 | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 01:27 | US government shutdown in 2025? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.9k |
| 04-05 13:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SELL | 0.78 | $780.00 |
| 02-13 20:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $1.0k |
| 12-06 00:28 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.528 | $117.22 |
| 11-13 19:50 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.8k |
| 09-03 17:18 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5149999998 | $1.0k |
| 08-10 16:25 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4609999999 | $437.98 |
| 07-18 17:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6499999996 | $501.94 |
| 06-20 02:48 | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BUY | 0.7299999993 | $781.00 |