0x29bfcb496c9c24a5c59fa4957b05b4709e9786f1
- Realised P&L
- $-289.69
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,191
- Open portfolio
- $10.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,191
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19? · No | 0.660 | 0.965 | $1.71 | +$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.250 | $1.68 | +$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.260 | $1.30 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20? · No | 0.510 | 0.570 | $1.30 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20? · No | 0.720 | 0.775 | $1.27 | +$0.09 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 20? · No | 0.710 | 0.730 | $1.21 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? · No | 0.660 | 0.675 | $1.20 | +$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 20? · No | 0.770 | 0.645 | $0.99 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.93at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$26.78at 0.653Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$20.61at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$15.75at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
- +$13.78at 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.77 |
| 09-18 20:39 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.53 |
| 09-18 18:11 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.7099999278 | $1.18 |
| 09-18 18:11 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.6499999602 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6599999097 | $1.17 |
| 09-18 18:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.62 |
| 09-18 18:07 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.7799999778 | $4.93 |
| 09-18 18:03 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5299999565 | $4.87 |
| 09-18 18:02 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.7899999744 | $4.93 |
| 09-18 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-18 15:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.22 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8799999408 | $1.19 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7699999674 | $1.18 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5699998831 | $1.17 |