ethetheth1
0x29be1a571dc1e18a946bce8c5c629faacbd436ad
- Realised P&L
- $-613.43
- Volume
- $301.5k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.50at 0.544Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$328.14at 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$243.00at 0.750Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$204.70at 0.623Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
- +$103.93at 0.105Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 12:12 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0917677982 | $1000.00 |
| 06-29 20:37 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0463081312 | $977.88 |
| 06-29 19:08 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $294.12 |
| 06-29 19:07 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.072 | $509.27 |
| 06-20 20:29 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $500.00 |
| 06-20 20:20 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.125 | $761.93 |
| 06-19 10:35 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0669999999 | $473.90 |
| 06-17 06:33 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $351.26 |
| 06-15 17:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.166 | $149.55 |
| 06-15 08:36 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $439.07 |
| 06-15 05:04 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0969999997 | $300.00 |
| 06-15 05:03 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.097 | $29.10 |
| 06-02 11:39 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $143.68 |
| 05-28 17:15 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.101 | $148.53 |
| 05-28 17:14 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0149999997 | $50.00 |