0x29b04b96452Cd4b0C15Ac2ae751c88DA58603F3c-1754558966408
0x29b04b96452cd4b0c15ac2ae751c88da58603f3c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $239.5k
- Markets traded
- 525
- Open portfolio
- $134.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded525
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.485 | $129.59 | +$1.34 |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Pacers | 0.490 | 0.495 | $4.32 | +$0.04 |
| Spread: Lakers (-7.5) · Lakers | 0.450 | 0.465 | $1.00 | +$0.03 |
| RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$227.04 |
| New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.94 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.16 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.27 |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) · Canucks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.02 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$477.75 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · New York Mets | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.52 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$261.75 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.24 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.05 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$127.19 |
| FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.379Utah vs. Sharks
- +$1.3kat 0.510Avalanche vs. Devils
- +$1.2kat 0.430Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
- +$1.1kat 0.541Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
- +$1.1kat 0.542Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:53 | Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $14.03 |
| 10-10 19:53 | Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $14.03 |
| 09-14 12:42 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.50 |
| 09-14 12:42 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $11.00 |
| 06-24 18:58 | Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $182.27 |
| 06-14 08:48 | Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $48.02 |
| 05-25 17:10 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $533.56 |
| 04-17 13:31 | FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $16.83 |
| 04-17 13:31 | FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $16.83 |
| 04-15 07:24 | Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $136.33 |
| 04-15 03:36 | FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $174.51 |
| 03-22 17:30 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22? | BUY | 0.54 | $87.09 |
| 03-21 16:13 | CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $21.79 |
| 03-15 15:21 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $5.49 |
| 03-15 15:16 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $6.21 |