140k
0x29b02ac043a918482582cf3a08933095cc83a940
- Realised P&L
- $-184.56
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $207.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.76at 0.240OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
- +$57.50at 0.080Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
- +$41.56at 0.591Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?
- +$40.35at 0.057Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$27.82at 0.260Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 13:42 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 20:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 20:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:02 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:53 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 14:26 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.0839999854 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 05:36 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 12:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:50 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.85 |
| 07-28 05:48 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.2516425756 | $45.96 |
| 07-28 05:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2848035772 | $52.71 |
| 07-17 09:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0439999918 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 07:42 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.178217796 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 06:54 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 07:21 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |