Kevlarsoul
0x29a6c08c1f11726508ec184cbe16562282154b86
- Realised P&L
- $75.11
- Volume
- $851.65
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $361.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.805 | $262.31 | +$34.59 |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.220 | $44.00 | +$6.00 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? · No | 0.795 | 0.907 | $27.23 | +$3.38 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? · No | 0.904 | 0.917 | $18.35 | +$0.27 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · No | 0.184 | 0.178 | $10.00 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.11at 0.658Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:56 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? | BUY | 0.795 | $23.85 |
| 09-28 10:01 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.903 | $9.03 |
| 09-28 08:34 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.905 | $9.05 |
| 09-21 20:15 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.185 | $9.25 |
| 09-21 20:13 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.174 | $1.04 |
| 09-19 11:08 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 11:07 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 09-13 15:25 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | BUY | 0.6491542062 | $142.68 |
| 09-13 15:24 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6899999987 | $200.00 |