1211211211234554321121121
0x29a2ae37915ae852213f144f63aa93880af64336
- Realised P&L
- $-35.67
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $5.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.529 | 0.545 | $4.64 | +$0.14 |
| GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.925 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 2AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3AM ET · Down | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.98at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$5.42at 0.182Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$3.90at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$2.85at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7AM ET
- +$1.85at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 01:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-30 14:27 | Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.99 |
| 09-30 14:27 | Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.99 |
| 09-30 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $0.43 |
| 09-30 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $0.11 |
| 09-30 13:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | SELL | 0.98 | $6.42 |
| 09-30 09:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.18 |
| 09-30 09:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $0.97 |
| 09-30 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.011 | $0.01 |
| 09-30 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.983 | $0.99 |
| 09-30 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.971 | $0.98 |
| 09-30 09:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.055 | $0.06 |
| 09-30 09:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9769999834 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $0.90 |