0x299f5091eAD50ac2444dCD590094F47559E91347-1775593079780
0x299f5091ead50ac2444dcd590094f47559e91347
- Realised P&L
- $-73.25
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $26.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.800 | 0.810 | $26.51 | +$0.33 |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-11? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.79 |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.10 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.30 |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.32 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.628 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.86at 0.397Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?
- +$6.01at 0.387Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$4.80at 0.520Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
- +$4.44at 0.498Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?
- +$3.30at 0.377Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:05 | PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $26.18 |
| 08-18 05:13 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0360000001 | $15.34 |
| 08-11 23:08 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 15:13 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.084999996 | $18.00 |
| 08-11 15:12 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0802220415 | $19.23 |
| 06-19 01:23 | Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5199999212 | $1.32 |
| 06-18 22:16 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1459999967 | $35.00 |
| 06-14 19:12 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $22.79 |
| 06-14 19:11 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1458062546 | $23.87 |
| 05-27 01:34 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1369999927 | $15.80 |
| 05-27 01:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.291 | $1.45 |
| 04-29 16:40 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 04-24 00:23 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.063 | $6.30 |
| 04-22 12:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.393 | $1.97 |
| 04-22 03:22 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-21? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |