bbqpringles
0x299682a37a79088b1176566ea3d5625630e22122
- Realised P&L
- $-970.22
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $116.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.305 | $70.93 | −$29.07 |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $45.83 | −$54.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.42 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$814.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.38at 0.650US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$6.77at 0.775Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 16:23 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | BUY | 0.1164613433 | $4.00 |
| 06-17 16:23 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | BUY | 0.1240396093 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16? | BUY | 0.0017382292 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 09:30 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.7656722803 | $23.00 |
| 05-09 09:34 | Clavicular sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-28 20:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 14:05 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $153.38 |
| 04-01 21:22 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-25 17:41 | Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election? | BUY | 0.0485241512 | $103.42 |
| 04-24 22:03 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.1660000002 | $135.00 |
| 04-24 21:52 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.1659999989 | $115.00 |
| 04-24 21:12 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.1659999989 | $115.00 |
| 04-24 20:57 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.1659999974 | $50.00 |
| 04-24 15:36 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.1529999994 | $200.00 |