masampa
0x29945bbf8c3c0525dc502d62c78f432a3a4a60a5
- Realised P&L
- $40.72
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $62.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.469 | $26.43 | +$1.12 |
| Spain snap election called by November 30? · No | 0.420 | 0.400 | $20.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $16.05 | −$0.15 |
| Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.40at 0.750Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
- +$45.65at 0.488Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$28.23at 0.561Spain snap election called in 2025?
- +$25.60at 0.150Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$22.91at 0.690Will Simon Yates win the Giro d’Italia 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:18 | Spain snap election called by November 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 10-02 09:11 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 10-02 02:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 09-29 19:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 09-28 22:25 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.455 | $7.28 |
| 09-19 16:24 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-19 16:24 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.43 | $6.88 |
| 08-24 15:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | SELL | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 07-08 23:25 | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 23:25 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 23:24 | Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7599999924 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 23:23 | Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.659999946 | $11.00 |
| 07-08 23:23 | Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 21:14 | Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.30 |
| 07-06 21:09 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.678 | $30.51 |