AntonioHernandez5015
0x298ce3deb208198b1ad7e6cbea668c411a7b67fb
- Realised P&L
- $837.44
- Volume
- $130.1k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $317.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · No | 0.264 | 0.412 | $306.94 | +$110.26 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.065 | $6.24 | −$19.68 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.029 | $3.04 | −$23.74 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.185 | $1.11 | −$1.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$671.17at 0.230Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?
- +$556.92at 0.490Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$513.88at 0.710US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5
- +$472.08at 0.160Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
- +$278.77at 0.390Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 00:54 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? | BUY | 0.87 | $247.95 |
| 04-12 16:05 | Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.0k |
| 04-12 10:55 | Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $988.55 |
| 04-11 23:49 | Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $194.12 |
| 04-11 08:13 | Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $877.72 |
| 04-11 04:01 | Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $278.52 |
| 04-09 12:24 | Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.52 |
| 04-09 09:34 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.24 | $125.76 |
| 04-09 09:19 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04? | SELL | 0.44 | $354.20 |
| 04-09 05:13 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | BUY | 0.87 | $455.88 |
| 04-08 06:05 | Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels | BUY | 0.42 | $445.20 |
| 04-08 04:26 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04? | BUY | 0.46 | $370.30 |
| 04-07 10:11 | Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $209.07 |
| 03-31 02:37 | Will GERB-SDS win between 55-59 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.82 | $828.20 |
| 03-30 13:34 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $514.02 |