0x297C8dF4b52d52225695a333a13b89c28A7A61dc-1766302495628
0x297c8df4b52d52225695a333a13b89c28a7a61dc
- Realised P&L
- $-66.27
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.32at 0.110Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
- +$-0.36at 0.028Bill Clinton charged by January 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.004Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
- +$-1.00at 0.003Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
- +$-2.83at 0.046Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.9%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-06 05:01 | Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.9%? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.27 |
| 01-06 05:00 | Bill Clinton charged by January 31? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.64 |
| 01-06 05:00 | Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1455005501 | $1.32 |
| 01-06 04:57 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $5.40 |
| 12-23 22:51 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.18 |
| 12-23 12:46 | US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 12:46 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 12:44 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 12:43 | Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | BUY | 0.0040689111 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 12:42 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.045999957 | $1.00 |
| 12-22 19:07 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 12-22 19:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 12-22 19:05 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 12-22 19:05 | Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 12-22 01:01 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23? | BUY | 0.0188714852 | $1.00 |