PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2978546D4Cb4C67E0A4794bdcA1125B2249fFfBB-1773584503703

0x2978546d4cb4c67e0a4794bdca1125b2249fffbb

Realised P&L
$6.02
Volume
$499.14
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$124.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.2400.780$110.50+$76.50
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.2890.122$14.38−$19.62
Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.2700.001$0.06−$33.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Fabiano Caruana Win the Sinquefield Cup? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the Sinquefield Cup? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 14:31Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.2899999956$30.00
08-23 14:31Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
08-23 14:31Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.24$30.00
08-23 14:22Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.239999964$4.00
08-23 14:22Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.2699999656$4.00
08-23 14:22Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.2864197069$4.00
07-29 01:37Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-29 01:37Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the Sinquefield Cup?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-29 01:37Will Fabiano Caruana Win the Sinquefield Cup?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-18 08:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1319998955$1.00
06-18 08:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1379998965$1.00
06-18 08:26Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.128999904$1.00
06-18 08:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849998631$1.00
06-18 08:20Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
03-17 03:51Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETSELL0.99$1.40