0x2976aad73d9aa56cb00008a38853355085b1db80
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $111.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.965 | 0.989 | $58.19 | +$1.41 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.938 | 0.953 | $53.71 | +$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$558.00at 0.640Angels vs. Mets
- +$520.26at 0.610Reds vs. Pirates
- +$393.84at 0.640Mumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitals
- +$3.30at 0.940Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
- +$1.47at 0.974Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 12:50 | Solana Up or Down on August 23? | BUY | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 08-18 10:13 | Cardinals vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.55 | $719.95 |
| 08-07 10:11 | Reds vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.61 | $813.74 |
| 07-21 10:40 | Angels vs. Mets | BUY | 0.64 | $984.96 |
| 05-30 11:44 | Yankees vs. Dodgers | BUY | 0.55 | $999.90 |
| 05-21 11:23 | Mumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitals | BUY | 0.64 | $700.16 |