Alphabravo337
0x296e83109045f172a126cb17d0ec531e5b6de0e1
- Realised P&L
- $-613.14
- Volume
- $63.6k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $35.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.00at 0.560US military action against Iran by Monday?
- +$86.05at 0.820Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?
- +$81.35at 0.810Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?
- +$69.73at 0.776Iran strike on Israel by Monday?
- +$69.20at 0.790Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 19:47 | Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.57 |
| 09-20 19:41 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.37 | $114.52 |
| 09-20 18:48 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2429577465 | $3.45 |
| 09-20 18:29 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.85 |
| 09-20 18:28 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.4542264931 | $105.41 |
| 09-20 17:06 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.369190411 | $48.00 |
| 09-20 17:06 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.2999999981 | $31.00 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3699999971 | $17.62 |
| 09-07 17:16 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.359999993 | $31.00 |
| 09-07 16:46 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $4.94 |
| 09-07 16:46 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.95 |
| 09-07 16:46 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $16.08 |
| 09-04 17:56 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3047619048 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 17:56 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1826922931 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 17:52 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4355890334 | $6.33 |