Ju1ian
0x296d785b3da60b0d0f331487ab52d582126270f9
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $338.5k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.460Pacers vs. Bucks
- +$998.50at 0.667Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$694.29at 0.065Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$531.90at 0.460Penguins vs. Sabres
- +$438.35at 0.430Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0813709693 | $41.31 |
| 10-30 10:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $425.04 |
| 10-30 02:22 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 10-30 02:22 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $104.68 |
| 10-29 21:37 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3192856643 | $63.85 |
| 10-29 21:24 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1731329 | $51.94 |
| 10-29 21:19 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1673329554 | $45.75 |
| 10-29 21:17 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2839777404 | $6.76 |
| 10-29 21:15 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.305780461 | $33.43 |
| 10-29 20:45 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0089503019 | $7.20 |
| 10-29 20:44 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.00795889 | $7.74 |
| 10-21 21:52 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5978872357 | $350.42 |
| 10-18 09:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $27.19 |
| 10-14 08:05 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.014 | $14.09 |
| 10-10 20:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.973459196 | $2.9k |