yj903
0x296b829baa56ffeacdc0ad6d627f33382b84dcd9
- Realised P&L
- $67.12
- Volume
- $122.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $138.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.139 | $138.50 | +$27.50 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.30at 0.962Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$15.30at 0.993Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$9.68at 0.613Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.00at 0.860Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$5.80at 0.942Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 08:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 07-18 16:28 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 05-31 13:19 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 05-31 13:19 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 05-31 13:18 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 04-29 12:15 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $26.32 |
| 02-04 07:49 | Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9720206186 | $2.8k |
| 02-03 03:07 | Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.971 | $971.00 |
| 02-03 03:06 | Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.971 | $971.00 |
| 02-02 07:36 | Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.036 | $50.40 |
| 02-01 17:27 | Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.044 | $44.00 |
| 01-27 09:22 | Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.07 | $98.00 |
| 01-27 09:21 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.0k |
| 10-31 17:12 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.942 | $94.20 |
| 09-22 13:26 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.051 | $1.53 |