0x2969ca784f38b592fe38bd33b9c0a94d3afb3335
0x2969ca784f38b592fe38bd33b9c0a94d3afb3335
- Realised P&L
- $8.24
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $162.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.970 | 0.966 | $162.07 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.56at 0.983Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$1.56at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14?
- +$1.43at 0.987Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16?
- +$0.95at 0.991Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 17?
- +$0.77at 0.995Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 05:26 | APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.97 | $162.74 |
| 03-30 23:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $159.14 |
| 03-30 23:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-19 06:07 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.983 | $157.28 |
| 03-17 11:28 | Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.998 | $158.68 |
| 03-16 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 17? | BUY | 0.9906554667 | $148.60 |
| 03-16 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16? | BUY | 0.987 | $156.93 |
| 03-15 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $154.44 |
| 03-15 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on March 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $139.86 |
| 03-14 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or higher on March 14? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.69 |
| 03-14 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $154.44 |