Thalantyr
0x29673aa650e09fa8aeb920dde3c333b32d4fbd09
- Realised P&L
- $122.8k
- Volume
- $45.11M
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.026 | $3.5k | −$12.3k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.051 | $1.3k | +$275.00 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $795.32 | −$795.32 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.004 | $116.96 | −$610.20 |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.006 | $18.87 | +$13.07 |
| Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $3.74 | −$18.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.8kat 0.028Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$38.9kat 0.064Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
- +$32.7kat 0.109Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.2kat 0.008Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.2kat 0.540Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 15:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.04 | $8.44 |
| 08-14 15:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.021 | $70.20 |
| 08-14 08:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.039 | $13.65 |
| 08-14 08:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.021 | $73.50 |
| 08-14 00:14 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 08-14 00:11 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.63 | $130.41 |
| 08-13 23:36 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.192 | $388.82 |
| 08-13 21:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.81 |
| 08-03 22:24 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.0k |
| 07-31 22:05 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.0k |
| 07-24 12:39 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 21:57 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.4k |
| 07-15 21:56 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.0k |
| 07-15 18:33 | Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.27 |
| 07-12 15:35 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.058 | $283.81 |