PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Thalantyr

0x29673aa650e09fa8aeb920dde3c333b32d4fbd09

Realised P&L
$122.8k
Volume
$45.11M
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1200.026$3.5k$12.3k
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes0.0400.051$1.3k+$275.00
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0900.045$795.32$795.32
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0280.004$116.96$610.20
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0020.006$18.87+$13.07
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0030.001$3.74$18.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 15:51Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?BUY0.04$8.44
08-14 15:50Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.021$70.20
08-14 08:45Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?BUY0.039$13.65
08-14 08:45Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.021$73.50
08-14 00:14Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.79$79.00
08-14 00:11Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.63$130.41
08-13 23:36Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.192$388.82
08-13 21:28Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.027$0.81
08-03 22:24Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.12$3.0k
07-31 22:05Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.12$3.0k
07-24 12:39Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.028$1.1k
07-15 21:57Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY0.95$5.4k
07-15 21:56Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY0.95$19.0k
07-15 18:33Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.022$1.27
07-12 15:35Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.058$283.81