0x2966fd2ffa708af222417ff95da5a52dced13b02
- Realised P&L
- $-41.62
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $1.67 | −$8.33 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.80at 0.308Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$-2.13at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 02:46 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-04 06:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0098507463 | $1.98 |
| 09-03 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.2158479532 | $3.69 |
| 09-03 23:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2923406387 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:15 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |