riceTwoOrdinary
0x2965b90c1191d6dd2c2909723e2fe3707e0f5afa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $137.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,025
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,025
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$311.83at 0.930Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$268.89at 0.503Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
- +$207.97at 0.816Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
- +$170.00at 0.150Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
- +$125.26at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $2.45 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.659999989 | $3.59 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999686 | $5.05 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4697897888 | $3.80 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999603 | $2.42 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.25 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999662 | $3.20 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999438 | $2.76 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999713 | $4.49 |
| 08-05 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999913 | $2.24 |
| 08-05 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4266144814 | $2.18 |
| 08-05 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999028 | $1.81 |
| 08-05 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4599998585 | $1.69 |
| 08-05 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998779 | $1.73 |
| 08-05 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.31 |