PolyBot

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Traders

BlackMamba48

0x295a5a4811324c990dd27030285a72167e91397c

Realised P&L
$1.24
Volume
$726.95
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$2.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2500.125$1.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0430.038$0.88−$0.12
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6870.135$0.39−$1.61
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? · Yes0.3170.100$0.32−$0.68
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2900.085$0.29−$0.71
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.1350.000$0.00−$1.00
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$1.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? · No0.2270.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026? · No0.0220.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$1.00
Crude Oil all time high by April 30? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 22:45Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.21$0.70
08-07 14:25Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.0356625978$1.00
08-07 14:25Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.25$2.00
08-07 14:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8799999883$3.00
05-16 13:19Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
04-24 13:29Will Donald Trump's tie be red?BUY0.1299998986$0.93
04-24 13:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0209359159$0.92
04-24 13:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
04-24 13:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.37$1.15
04-24 13:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?SELL0.9$1.49
04-24 13:20U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?SELL0.999$5.17
04-20 09:18U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?BUY0.3859998927$2.00
04-20 09:16WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 20?BUY0.6699999196$0.97
04-19 14:34Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
04-19 14:33US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.060999945$1.00