BlackMamba48
0x295a5a4811324c990dd27030285a72167e91397c
- Realised P&L
- $1.24
- Volume
- $726.95
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.22at 0.308Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$3.18at 0.386U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
- +$3.00at 0.400Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.380Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 22:45 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.70 |
| 08-07 14:25 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.0356625978 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 14:25 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 14:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799999883 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 13:19 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 13:29 | Will Donald Trump's tie be red? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $0.93 |
| 04-24 13:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0209359159 | $0.92 |
| 04-24 13:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 13:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.15 |
| 04-24 13:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.49 |
| 04-24 13:20 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.17 |
| 04-20 09:18 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | BUY | 0.3859998927 | $2.00 |
| 04-20 09:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 20? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $0.97 |
| 04-19 14:34 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 14:33 | US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.060999945 | $1.00 |