AlvinWatts
0x29589e3d591a6b7cf9d2f0abbd274df204601298
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $34.74
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $11.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No | 0.380 | 0.325 | $4.28 | −$0.72 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.381 | 0.329 | $2.59 | −$0.41 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.963 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.675 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? · Christie's | 0.190 | 0.155 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 15:41 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9679998606 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:27 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3809999878 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 15:27 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 15:23 | Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |