PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AlvinWatts

0x29589e3d591a6b7cf9d2f0abbd274df204601298

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$34.74
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$11.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.3800.325$4.28−$0.72
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.3810.329$2.59−$0.41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9680.963$1.99−$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4200.675$1.61+$0.61
Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? · Christie's0.1900.155$0.82−$0.18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 15:41China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9679998606$2.00
10-16 15:37Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-16 15:35Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-16 15:27Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.3809999878$3.00
10-16 15:27Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
10-16 15:23Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total?BUY0.1899999962$1.00