PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Guessrs

0x2951fdfd1d24bddff066ecad42efa2ae965d8d65

Realised P&L
$111.14
Volume
$644.23
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$153.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar17.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Illinois" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes0.9600.996$43.54+$1.55
Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? · No0.9820.972$39.69−$0.43
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? · No0.9860.973$37.59−$0.52
Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes0.9901.000$32.71+$0.31
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:04Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.9899999918$32.40
11-01 22:19Will Trump say "Alaska" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.9699999997$34.11
11-01 22:05Will Trump say "Illinois" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.96$41.99
11-01 20:00Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?BUY0.9859999998$38.11
11-01 20:00Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?BUY0.9819999795$40.12
11-01 02:00Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$6.12
10-30 21:00Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9792763617$36.61
10-30 19:40Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?BUY0.9628243799$37.50
10-30 19:40Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?BUY0.986$19.72
10-30 11:52Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-30 11:46Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.25B?BUY0.99$9.89
10-30 10:00Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?BUY0.99$20.00
10-30 09:00Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?BUY0.4399999947$20.00
10-30 09:00Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?BUY0.98$20.00
10-30 09:00Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?BUY0.3899999945$20.00