ghuonliyelkihxeklkgeu
0x294d6426745e9c48c978b91478b91365af32b362
- Realised P&L
- $-15.7k
- Volume
- $711.8k
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · No | 0.678 | 0.455 | $13.4k | −$6.6k |
| Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.745 | 0.945 | $976.27 | +$207.13 |
| Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.857 | 0.949 | $841.69 | +$81.41 |
| Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.709 | 0.946 | $348.69 | +$87.12 |
| Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.499 | 0.895 | $247.52 | +$109.52 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.860 | $8.60 | +$1.10 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.013 | $0.49 | −$0.29 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.877 | 0.161 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? · No | 0.614 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$743.94 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.524Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?
- +$930.42at 0.444Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of December?
- +$771.74at 0.890US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$714.39at 0.752Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
- +$569.11at 0.980Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 15:12 | Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5592969762 | $140.76 |
| 08-19 13:46 | Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.524 | $10.48 |
| 08-19 13:42 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.3214499922 | $400.00 |
| 05-29 15:27 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $40.00 |
| 05-29 15:27 | Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $38.95 |
| 05-29 15:24 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $400.00 |
| 05-29 15:23 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.947 | $56.82 |
| 05-29 15:23 | Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? | SELL | 0.9087410183 | $325.03 |
| 05-29 14:48 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $700.00 |
| 05-29 14:46 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $600.00 |
| 05-29 14:46 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $660.00 |
| 05-29 14:45 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.6k |
| 05-29 14:45 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.0k |
| 05-26 08:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May? | SELL | 0.04 | $17.20 |
| 05-18 10:12 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $601.85 |