okwtfok
0x29489e05e52aaf42c5323fec26b814793901788a
- Realised P&L
- $721.63
- Volume
- $73.2k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $207.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.328Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
- +$270.00at 0.100Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?
- +$230.80at 0.220Israel military strike against Iran in November?
- +$161.80at 0.127US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?
- +$159.02at 0.200Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 09:35 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.93 |
| 07-10 12:47 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10? | SELL | 0.07 | $10.19 |
| 07-10 05:06 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.44 |
| 07-09 18:28 | Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 07-09 18:27 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 07-07 16:50 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 16:38 | Argentina leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 16:22 | Argentina leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 17:44 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | SELL | 0.971 | $220.63 |
| 07-01 17:42 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | SELL | 0.976 | $117.12 |
| 07-01 17:39 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:36 | Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | SELL | 0.991 | $15.86 |
| 06-21 16:52 | Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999923 | $7.00 |
| 06-21 11:44 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | BUY | 0.62 | $74.40 |
| 06-21 11:00 | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | SELL | 0.6324666667 | $94.87 |