PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

okwtfok

0x29489e05e52aaf42c5323fec26b814793901788a

Realised P&L
$721.63
Volume
$73.2k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$207.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0130.029$191.69+$107.26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1400.162$16.15+$2.15
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$2.88
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.10
TikTok sale announced by October 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$51.32
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$1.08
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$10.00
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5300.000$0.00−$6.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.40
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$14.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 09:35Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?SELL0.999$59.93
07-10 12:47Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?SELL0.07$10.19
07-10 05:06Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?BUY0.08$8.44
07-09 18:28Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.011$1.10
07-09 18:27Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.014$1.40
07-07 16:50Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.179999958$3.00
07-07 16:38Argentina leading at halftime?BUY0.05$2.00
07-07 16:22Argentina leading at halftime?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-01 17:44Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELL0.971$220.63
07-01 17:42Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELL0.976$117.12
07-01 17:39Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-01 17:36Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELL0.991$15.86
06-21 16:52Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?BUY0.0599999923$7.00
06-21 11:44Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?BUY0.62$74.40
06-21 11:00Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELL0.6324666667$94.87