PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Matink

0x2944392cfdc74612850ace178b1a2d2c21d0c5f0

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$101.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.4470.145$2.3k−$4.8k
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$2.25
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 17:03Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.08$2.40
09-19 14:33Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.41$8.63
09-19 14:25Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.1899999962$4.00
09-15 21:24Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.04$1.00
08-29 22:43Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.32$20.00
06-18 00:22Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.09$1.0k
04-04 17:15Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.3954225136$5.0k
03-12 17:33Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.6398495401$2.2k
03-08 17:31Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.3141263714$118.25
03-08 17:25Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5910871179$200.00
03-08 17:24Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.3939999943$15.00
03-07 09:54US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.9099999998$2.0k
03-07 09:40Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4399737503$5.0k
03-07 09:17Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.0021295906$45.64
02-28 06:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.6267932969$2.0k