Matink
0x2944392cfdc74612850ace178b1a2d2c21d0c5f0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $101.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.447 | 0.145 | $2.3k | −$4.8k |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.627Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$926.12at 0.555Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$499.13at 0.540US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$197.80at 0.910US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
- +$4.22at 0.198Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:03 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 09-19 14:33 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.63 |
| 09-19 14:25 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 21:24 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 00:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.0k |
| 04-04 17:15 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.3954225136 | $5.0k |
| 03-12 17:33 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.6398495401 | $2.2k |
| 03-08 17:31 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.3141263714 | $118.25 |
| 03-08 17:25 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.5910871179 | $200.00 |
| 03-08 17:24 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.3939999943 | $15.00 |
| 03-07 09:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $2.0k |
| 03-07 09:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4399737503 | $5.0k |
| 03-07 09:17 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.0021295906 | $45.64 |
| 02-28 06:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.6267932969 | $2.0k |