rchok84
0x294212735ab26bd2d1cdc11e516970708081c7fe
- Realised P&L
- $-13.64
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills · Bills | 0.945 | 0.935 | $1.1k | −$11.35 |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-09-17? · No | 0.617 | 1.000 | $956.42 | +$365.79 |
| Spread: Bills (-20.5) · Bills | 0.451 | 0.325 | $839.88 | −$324.50 |
| Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh | 0.879 | 0.953 | $790.26 | +$60.89 |
| Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-17? · No | 0.618 | 0.235 | $23.14 | −$37.69 |
| Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.049 | 0.033 | $8.18 | −$4.15 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) · Pittsburgh | 0.730 | 0.725 | $5.15 | −$0.04 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.455 | $5.11 | −$0.06 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 42.5 · Under | 0.040 | 0.011 | $1.38 | −$3.63 |
| Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $1.15 | −$205.67 |
| CR Flamengo leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$9.04 |
| Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.720 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.56at 0.846Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 0.5
- +$37.10at 0.422Spread: Bills (-16.5)
- +$15.19at 0.691Lions vs. Bills: O/U 53.5
- +$12.04at 0.259Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: Draw at halftime?
- +$7.32at 0.847Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:00 | CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4599999769 | $5.17 |
| 09-18 02:00 | Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) | BUY | 0.7299999662 | $5.18 |
| 09-18 02:00 | Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) | SELL | 0.72 | $5.04 |
| 09-18 01:58 | Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) | BUY | 0.72 | $5.04 |
| 09-18 01:58 | Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) | SELL | 0.7 | $5.68 |
| 09-18 01:57 | Spread: Bills (-10.5) | SELL | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 09-18 01:57 | Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.041 | $0.16 |
| 09-18 01:56 | Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) | BUY | 0.6799999655 | $5.52 |
| 09-18 01:56 | Will Club Bolívar vs. GV CD San José end in a draw? | SELL | 0.071 | $5.67 |
| 09-18 01:55 | Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.0489999999 | $12.53 |
| 09-18 01:55 | Spread: Bills (-10.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $5.12 |
| 09-18 01:54 | Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.076 | $16.29 |
| 09-18 01:54 | Will Club Bolívar vs. GV CD San José end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.39 |
| 09-18 01:53 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | SELL | 0.8164473684 | $4.96 |
| 09-18 01:52 | Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |