0x293b417cebc3a5078a47749a6c85f7eb15079998
- Realised P&L
- $-12.12
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $7.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.041 | $2.73 | −$0.23 |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $2.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.028 | $1.57 | +$1.48 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will James Harden play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.96at 0.013Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 02:45 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.01 | $12.50 |
| 08-16 02:44 | Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.039339213 | $23.19 |
| 08-07 05:01 | Will James Harden play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0038448151 | $1.27 |
| 08-07 04:58 | Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0142440551 | $1.14 |
| 08-07 04:57 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0015383652 | $0.09 |
| 08-07 04:52 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 04:44 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $15.00 |
| 08-07 04:41 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 04:37 | Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.0438949444 | $28.83 |
| 08-07 04:35 | Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |