revvadff
0x29377ee3a90170c128f338cedf5b7246ff1d3c49
- Realised P&L
- $125.32
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $59.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.996 | $41.74 | +$0.54 |
| Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027? · No | 0.892 | 0.915 | $17.43 | +$0.43 |
| Daegu Pegasus vs. Anyang · Anyang | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.31at 0.520Senators vs. Blue Jackets
- +$0.60at 0.920Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$0.36at 0.951Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$0.22at 0.963Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.18at 0.952Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.9959995263 | $1.27 |
| 08-04 08:26 | Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027? | BUY | 0.8922635475 | $17.00 |
| 07-09 07:10 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9689998118 | $1.73 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969998815 | $1.75 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.78 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.76 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9739999876 | $1.73 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9709999957 | $1.79 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.78 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.70 |
| 07-09 07:09 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.80 |
| 07-07 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.50 |
| 07-07 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.17 |
| 07-07 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.39 |