PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

revvadff

0x29377ee3a90170c128f338cedf5b7246ff1d3c49

Realised P&L
$125.32
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$59.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9830.996$41.74+$0.54
Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027? · No0.8920.915$17.43+$0.43
Daegu Pegasus vs. Anyang · Anyang0.7200.000$0.00$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:26Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on August 5?BUY0.9959995263$1.27
08-04 08:26Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027?BUY0.8922635475$17.00
07-09 07:10No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.9689998118$1.73
07-09 07:10Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.9969998815$1.75
07-09 07:10Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$1.78
07-09 07:10Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$1.76
07-09 07:10Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.9739999876$1.73
07-09 07:10Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.9709999957$1.79
07-09 07:10Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.76
07-09 07:10Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.78
07-09 07:10Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.70
07-09 07:09Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.80
07-07 08:01Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 8?BUY0.996$1.50
07-07 08:01Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 8?BUY0.994$1.17
07-07 08:01Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 8?BUY0.998$1.39