0x292ef343a987869190606e830e7d9bd7d0f5ae4d
0x292ef343a987869190606e830e7d9bd7d0f5ae4d
- Realised P&L
- $1.59
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $42.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles · Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.660 | 1.000 | $15.14 | +$5.14 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers · Hanshin Tigers | 0.700 | 1.000 | $14.28 | +$4.28 |
| Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.650 | 1.000 | $12.30 | +$4.30 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz · Hanwha Eagles | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Guangzhou (Doubles): Reyes/Stalder vs Bayldon/Kadhe · Reyes/Stalder | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| ZCash Up or Down - August 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.17at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$7.48at 0.577New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$2.76at 0.647Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.53at 0.904Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmen
- +$0.21at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:25 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 04:24 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 04:24 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.6499999878 | $8.00 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $5.29 |
| 09-21 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 02:45 | Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmen | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 06:12 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $5.08 |
| 09-19 09:09 | Guangzhou (Doubles): Reyes/Stalder vs Bayldon/Kadhe | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 04:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 04:04 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 04:18 | New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 04:17 | New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 03:30 | Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 07:20 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 06:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |