RoadToZero
0x292c20aa4693dc3800385d45a4b9f93732ecc2dd
- Realised P&L
- $-18.29
- Volume
- $405.41
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.919 | $9.22 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.90at 0.420Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?
- +$1.55at 0.420Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?
- +$1.53at 0.810Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
- +$0.89at 0.530Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?
- +$-0.11at 0.450Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 18:54 | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.23 |
| 05-03 18:51 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.61 |
| 04-30 19:58 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0899999921 | $9.61 |
| 11-20 19:43 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.2799999702 | $4.89 |
| 11-20 17:03 | Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.89 |
| 11-18 16:20 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.3299998477 | $0.91 |
| 11-16 08:01 | Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 11-16 08:01 | Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 11-15 20:58 | Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 11-14 15:17 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.37 |
| 11-14 15:16 | Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called? | SELL | 0.567 | $4.37 |
| 11-14 15:15 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.8099999839 | $6.54 |
| 11-14 15:15 | Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called? | SELL | 0.55 | $6.55 |
| 11-10 09:55 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.56 |
| 11-09 20:34 | Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called? | BUY | 0.6479999865 | $5.00 |