rkpol
0x2929f1c32a8bd414aacf0a66a6f60e687b33f31f
- Realised P&L
- $-15.04
- Volume
- $653.79
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $12.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.170 | $7.73 | +$2.73 |
| Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.135 | $4.41 | +$2.41 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · No | 0.131 | 0.017 | $0.39 | −$2.61 |
| Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$1.89 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? · No | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.68at 0.050Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 09:55 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1312499669 | $3.00 |
| 04-16 09:55 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.32 |
| 04-15 07:14 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 20:58 | Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0609999718 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 23:02 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0277940373 | $3.00 |
| 04-13 22:59 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 20:45 | Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0088233218 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 20:38 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.0439999794 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 19:03 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.0754015557 | $10.00 |