0x29292f61bbb74df268b269173f7aad69b2ca9266
0x29292f61bbb74df268b269173f7aad69b2ca9266
- Realised P&L
- $3.72
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $32.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.555 | $23.49 | +$4.02 |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.160 | $9.13 | −$40.54 |
| West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · West Indies | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.11at 0.320West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
- +$46.88at 0.299West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies
- +$33.07at 0.332Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$31.04at 0.392West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies
- +$27.58at 0.352Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 12:24 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $9.64 |
| 10-10 18:33 | Will Australia win? | BUY | 0.4599999995 | $19.47 |
| 10-10 18:21 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7799999889 | $9.88 |
| 10-10 10:11 | Rain during the Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.32 | $5.23 |
| 10-10 09:50 | Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.729999997 | $19.73 |
| 10-10 09:49 | Rain during the Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5999999755 | $9.80 |
| 10-10 09:46 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5199999904 | $19.53 |
| 10-10 09:43 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8699999981 | $49.67 |
| 10-09 16:59 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.4799999921 | $9.74 |
| 10-09 15:03 | Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.6799999889 | $9.84 |
| 10-09 13:06 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.25 | $14.45 |
| 10-07 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.70 |
| 10-06 14:06 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.1235387664 | $4.78 |
| 10-06 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.11 |
| 10-06 13:35 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.1899999982 | $14.41 |